2021 & 2022 – Way Too Early Analysis

When people claim the Bruins are terrible at drafting, I challenge them on that, to back up their claims. They will often ask me to do the same and I point them here. So one person on Reddit, “NomahsBettah” asked what 21 and 22 drafts would look like, with the understanding that it’s way too early to get any meaningful info from the data. So I did, and here’s what we got.

2021

Yet again proving that the NHL draft can be a crapshoot, 22 picks went past the board until a team chose the current best player available. With the 23rd pick in the draft, the Dallas Stars selected Wyatt Johnson. And yes, those 22 picks include one by the Bruins, where they took Fabian Lysell. The next two picks were the next two best players, Power and Beniers, but then a bit of a gap where JJ Moser was picked 60th by Arizona. Some more chalk picks with McTavish, Luke Hughes, Dylan Guenther (9th) and Kent Johnson before the next best player on the board, Matt Knies went to Toronto at 57.

Keeping in mind that a lot will change in the coming years as players develop, here’s the current rankings as of March 31, 2025:

TeamTotal Missed Point ValueMissed Value Per Player
1Tampa Bay Lightning-4-0.57
2Toronto Maple Leafs-5.6-1.87
3San Jose Sharks-19.5-2.17
4Montreal Canadiens-22.7-2.52
5Vancouver Canucks-15.3-2.55
6New York Islanders-16.2-2.70
7Pittsburgh Penguins-13.5-2.70
8Philadelphia Flyers-16.3-2.72
9Chicago Blackhawks-22.3-2.79
10Washington Capitals-17.4-2.90
11Seattle Kraken-20.5-2.93
12Dallas Stars-29.8-2.98
13Anaheim Ducks-26.2-3.28
14Boston Bruins-23.5-3.36
15Carolina Hurricanes-46.3-3.56
16Arizona Coyotes-34.5-3.83
17Edmonton Oilers-23.1-3.85
18New Jersey Devils-27.1-3.87
19New York Rangers-31-3.88
20Florida Panthers-25.2-4.20
21Calgary Flames-34.5-4.31
22St. Louis Blues-17.5-4.38
23Colorado Avalanche-18.6-4.65
24Columbus Blue Jackets-44.1-4.90
25Vegas Golden Knights-30.3-5.05
26Buffalo Sabres-57.3-5.21
27Nashville Predators-34.7-5.78
28Detroit Red Wings-49.3-6.16
29Minnesota Wild-49.2-7.03
30Ottawa Senators-49.1-8.18
31Winnipeg Jets-34.8-8.70
32Los Angeles Kings-41.4-10.35

2022

The questions coming into this draft were whether Montreal would take the sure thing, Shane Wright or take someone else. It was a bit of a risk as they went we with Juraj Slavkofsky. So how’s that looking today? Well Montreal did not get the best player available, but he was not Shane Wright. As of this writing, Wright was the 5th best available player. First was Logan Cooley, taken 3rd by Arizona. Montreal did get the second best in Slavkovsky but in a steal for this draft, they also got the third best player, taken 62nd overall in Lane Hutson. Anaheim’s pick at 10, Mintyukov is the next best player, then Wright. The #2 pick, Simon Nemec by New Jersey is 7th best. Colorado only had two picks in the draft, at 193 and dead last, 225. As more players get to the NHL, the Colorado ranking will change. Here’s a look at these way too early rankings.

TeamTotal Missed Point ValueMissed Value Per Player
1Colorado Avalanche00.00
2Florida Panthers-3-0.43
3New York Rangers-3-0.50
4New York Islanders-3.2-0.64
5Ottawa Senators-7-0.78
6Philadelphia Flyers-5.5-0.92
7Tampa Bay Lightning-8.4-1.40
8Boston Bruins-8.6-1.43
9Los Angeles Kings-10.4-1.49
10Carolina Hurricanes-11.4-1.63
11Vancouver Canucks-10.2-1.70
12Vegas Golden Knights-10.4-1.73
13Pittsburgh Penguins-8.9-1.78
14Montreal Canadiens-20.3-1.85
15Nashville Predators-11.4-1.90
16St. Louis Blues-11.4-1.90
17Toronto Maple Leafs-10-2.00
18New Jersey Devils-16.5-2.06
19Edmonton Oilers-8.4-2.10
20Washington Capitals-17.3-2.47
21Detroit Red Wings-23.4-2.60
22Dallas Stars-16.4-2.73
23San Jose Sharks-24.9-2.77
24Buffalo Sabres-30.7-2.79
25Calgary Flames-8.4-2.80
26Columbus Blue Jackets-21.5-3.07
27Arizona Coyotes-31.1-3.11
28Seattle Kraken-35.2-3.20
29Anaheim Ducks-26.6-3.33
30Chicago Blackhawks-37.8-3.44
31Winnipeg Jets-24.2-3.46
32Minnesota Wild-32.3-4.04